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Russian intervention in Syria-What is the end game?





After four years, since the start of the Crisis in Syria, Russia enters into Syria, to protect its long term Middle Eastern ally, President Azad. Not only the Americans, but their European allies such as Britain, France and Germany perplexed at the swiftness of which the Russians started the bombing campaign against ISIS and anti-Assad rebel groups. For Putin’s Russia, it is a show of strength, after decades of hands-off policy not to fight in foreign country, following the collapse of Soviet Union.

According various European media sources, Putin’s military intervention in Syria is to get concession as well as relief from sanctions from the West, following its annexation of Crimea and its involvement in supporting the rebels in Eastern Ukraine. But in the Syrian crisis, the Russians are acting as per international law. They are acting by the invitation of the legitimate leader of Syria, whom the United States and their allies accused of killing his own people, and committed war crimes.

At the beginning of the campaign, most of the western media and leading senior administration officials, predicted the Russian invasion doomed to be a failure, they co-related the Russian campaign to the failed Soviet campaign in Afghanistan. Surprisingly, the Russian bombing mission alarmed the ISIS as well as anti-Syrian government rebels within a few days. In short the Russian bombing mission and missile attack from navy ships stationed in Caspian Sea, made difference among the fighters on the ground as well as other pro-rebel governments in the Middle East


But why the Russians come now, not before? Since the start of the crisis, Russians stopped the West from forcefully removing Assad’s government. The Americans and their allies were reminded of the Iraq and Libyan chaos due to the forceful removal of their leaders, and sprout of various terror groups including ISIS, and Al- Nusra front. 

Since then for the last four years the United States and their allies were trying hard by all means to remove Assad from power and eradicate the notorious terror group ISIS, but none of their attempt succeeded instead sent millions of refugees to flee to Europe. The funny thing is that, the Americans, with several hundred military trainers and experts, in addition with Iraq government forces and Shia militants were trying hard to retake the Iraqi city of Ramadi from the ISIS, for several months and so on the US trained rebels in Syria handed over their weapons to ISIS for their safe passage. Several months of bombing by United States and their allies yielded no results except the expansion of ISIS stronghold in Syria.

Therefore the Americans and their allies find no reason to stop Russia entering into the battle field.
Despite the gloomy prospects for the Russian intervention to be another Afghanistan for Russia, the air strikes of Russian jets forced the events of the battle to be favorable to Assad government. Within four months, the Russians forced all the warring factions to a negotiating table that inspired both the Western and the Middle Eastern leaders, many of the former allies of the West, in the Middle East turn to the Russians, to find a favorable solution to the Syrian crises.

Meanwhile the surprise withdrawal of main forces from Syria perplexed many in the Western political circles, for Putin, as it seems to be, it is to force Syrian leader to be flexible in the peace negotiation in Geneva.

In short, the Russian military intervention had given a chance to the Russians, to show the credibility of their fire power, and restored their Soviet era pride, the Russian leader Vladimir Putin got the unprecedented level of approval rating among the Russian public.

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