The Possible Pros and cons of Iranian Nuclear Deal

As the final phase of Iranian nuclear deal negotiation is approaching between US Secretary of State John Kerry and Iranian foreign minister is fast approaching, there were mixed prospects among various parties involved in the negotiation. However, most of the Middle Eastern countries are nervous and keenly observing the outcome of the negotiation.

The main concern for the Middle Eastern governments and Iranian side is that, If Iran succeeded in the nuclear deal, the sanction will be lifted from Iran, which will boost its economy, and in turn modernize its military within a short duration it could emerge as a dominant power in the Middle East, that could endanger the Saudi regime in the near future,

Where as if the Iranian nuclear deal fails, that will lead to chaos in the Middle East, as already the Houthi rebels are challenging the exiled Yemen President and the Saudi regime. The deteriorating humanitarian crisis following the bombing of Yemen and its allies will result in producing more and more violent groups, who are desperate to take revenge on Saudis against the bombing campaign. There are possibilities for Iran, to openly arm and aid the Anti-Saudi Shia militants within Saudi Arabia, Syria and Bahrain, therefore a full pledged mayhem may result.

The Chinese and Russians could openly arm the Iranians. Russian president Vladimir Putin already agreed the supply of S-300 air defense Systems to Iran. Therefore, even the United States and their allies would be helpless to punish Iran in case If Iran violates from agreed norms, the same way they did against Iraq and Libya.

However, the defeat of ISIS in Iraq could embolden the Iran trained Shia rebels to shift their attention to help either the Yemeni Houthis or Syria’s Azad government. The Shia majority Iraq government could become a puppet of Iran. Thus the combined force of Iran, Iraq, Yemen, and Syria could threaten Saudi Arabia, and other small gulf states such as Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait and UAE.

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